Thomko Petro Chemical Blog

Thanks to all who sent e-mail from our last post about soaring oil prices. From analysts, politicians and just about everybody weighing in, there are many opinions about the cause and ways to solve our dependency on oil. Here's my personal thoughts on some of the major causes of why oil has risen to all time highs
 . . . CT

For the past 20-25 years, this country has obviously neglected to find other sources of energy and fuel, and instead opted to stay dependent on foreign oil. Now we come to a time when as Thomas Friedman's book title "The World Is Flat" hits us squarely in the face.

This is a global economy - and the rest of the world wants what we have. We are no longer the driving force on the oil & gasoline prices worldwide. Even if we cut back on gasoline consumption - drivers in the rest of the world (China, India, etc) will continue to consume more gasoline. So the answer lies not just in finding more oil, the big pill to swallow is a real alternative energy policy.

While we have been living the "American Dream", much of the rest of the global world is catching up. They want the cars, homes and a lot of the technology we have become accustomed to. There are just not enough resources to supply the demand. Actually from my point of view they are falling into the same trap we now find ourselves - but that's another story . . .  

The facts are crude oil production has remained rather flat - while the need for oil continues to rise - especially from developing countries. The American dollar is at an all time low, and let me state once again that oil is priced worldwide in dollars.

Terrorist activity around the world can send oil souring at any time as we have seen in Nigeria, and threats remain throughout the Middle East. 

Oil speculators also have to be figured into the equation of the rising oil prices. Many institutions playing the market for their investors own far too many oil contracts - and when they announce oil price expectations - prices continue to rise. It's easy to control the price when you own most of the contracts!

And the war in Iraq has dramatically cut their pre-war production of approximately 4 million barrels per day to less than 2 million barrels per day. So in reality this war has also added to the reduction of the global oil supply - and I won't even go into what the threat of war with Iran will do to the world oil market prices.

But there's more bad news . . . Russia, the world's second largest oil exporter is having production problems. Russia's lack of investment in their infrastructure and many aging oil fields has led to their first production decline in 10 years.   

At the end of the day, it's all of us who pull up to the gas pump each week who are the losers. Obviously the elected politicians for the past two decades have not had the country or our best interests at heart. So, it's up to us to make changes in our lives, and try to ride out this economic chaos.

I certainly don't have all the answers, but I do know that we are facing a very bad economic time in this country. It's going to take sacrifice, and hopefully this time we will come out this with a new outlook on alternative energy - but it's not going to happen overnight. 

That's my take . . .